Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.810429 0.951615 1.104239 1.280788 1.478664 1.692886 1.941603
2025-05-04 0.581765 0.776799 1.008309 1.299857 1.653477 2.064709 2.575056
2025-05-11 0.415690 0.628632 0.904666 1.279844 1.766880 2.367810 3.154370
2025-05-18 0.314540 0.534361 0.843057 1.291469 1.907718 2.705548 3.794722
2025-05-25 0.231927 0.443224 0.764265 1.260892 1.979965 2.951654 4.327643
2025-06-01 0.182623 0.389035 0.725651 1.275547 2.107480 3.271920 4.970196
2025-06-08 0.141613 0.337122 0.679247 1.268301 2.196965 3.539496 5.550379
2025-06-15 0.121012 0.316516 0.679160 1.330431 2.390889 3.962581 6.364807
2025-06-22 0.100426 0.290022 0.663407 1.362859 2.538413 4.323043 7.103863
2025-06-29 0.077692 0.251800 0.618782 1.338966 2.591460 4.542054 7.643668
2025-07-06 0.064263 0.230756 0.602914 1.362400 2.721005 4.881185 8.372404
2025-07-13 0.052778 0.210655 0.585018 1.378879 2.838048 5.204301 9.087590
2025-07-20 0.042518 0.190674 0.564925 1.390981 2.952184 5.534926 9.839106
2025-07-27 0.033117 0.169223 0.537476 1.385444 3.035010 5.820261 10.534797
2025-08-03 0.024476 0.145611 0.499645 1.353420 3.066398 6.021755 11.106318
2025-08-10 0.019245 0.131367 0.481847 1.360782 3.170114 6.347427 11.886687
2025-08-17 0.013883 0.112660 0.447549 1.326893 3.191475 6.532452 12.444720
2025-08-24 0.010954 0.102845 0.435527 1.341253 3.306248 6.881767 13.281126
2025-08-31 0.008184 0.091270 0.415281 1.333333 3.375217 7.152626 13.995478
2025-09-07 0.007170 0.089288 0.424566 1.397752 3.594610 7.698673 15.186235
2025-09-14 0.005848 0.083956 0.421668 1.431375 3.752057 8.138819 16.210520
2025-09-21 0.004116 0.073148 0.397088 1.406514 3.784721 8.353030 16.856248
2025-09-28 0.003240 0.068098 0.391668 1.430851 3.923197 8.765925 17.853879